Time interval between the onset of symptoms and diagnosis of multiple sclerosis and the influential factors: A national registry-based study.

OBJECTIVE: The time to diagnosis of multiple sclerosis (MS) is of great importance for early treatment, thereby reducing the disability and burden of the disease. The purpose of this study was to determine the time from the onset of clinical symptoms to the diagnosis of MS and to evaluate the factors associated with a late diagnosis in Iranian MS patients. METHODS: The present cross-sectional study was conducted on patients with MS who were registered in the National MS Registry System of Iran (NMSRI). RESULTS: Overall, 23291 MS patients registered in 18 provinces of Iran were included in this study. The mean (standard deviation) interval between the onset of the disease and diagnosis of MS was 13.42 (32.40) months, and the median was one month. The diagnostic interval of 41.6% of patients was less than one month, and 14.8% of them had a one-month time to diagnosis. Patients with an age of onset below 18 years and those diagnosed after the age of 50 years had a longer time to diagnosis (P<0.001). Patients with primary progressive MS (PPMS) had the longest time to diagnose and those with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) had the shortest time (P<0.001). The results of negative binominal regression showed that the average rate of delay in diagnosis in women was 12% less than that in men. The average delay in diagnosis in patients with a positive family history of MS was 23% more than that in others. The rate of delay in the diagnosis of patients with PPMS and secondary progressive MS was 2.22 and 1.66 times higher, respectively, compared with RRMS. CONCLUSION: The findings of the present study revealed that more than half of the MS patients were diagnosed within a one-month interval from the symptom onset, which is an acceptable period. More attention should be paid to patients' access to medical facilities and MS specialists.

Stochastic models for the onset and disease course of multiple sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: Exact causes and mechanisms regulating the onset and progression in many chronic diseases, including multiple sclerosis (MS), remain uncertain. Until now, the potential role of random process based on stochastic models in the temporal course of chronic diseases remains largely unevaluated. Therefore, the present study investigated the applicability of stochastic models for the onset and disease course of MS. METHODS: Stochastic models with random temporal process in disease activity, underlying clinical relapse and/or subclinical brain atrophy, were developed. The models incorporated parameters regarding the distribution of temporal changes in disease activity and the drift constant. RESULTS: By adjusting the parameters (temporal change dispersion and drift constant) and the threshold for the onset of disease, the stochastic disease progression models could reproduce various types of subsequent disease course, such as clinically isolated syndrome (monophasic), relapsing-remitting MS, primary-progressive MS, and secondary-progressive MS. Furthermore, the disease prevalence and distribution of onset age could be also reproduced with stochastic models by adjusting the parameters. The models could further explain why approximately half of the patients with relapsing-remitting MS will eventually experience a transition to secondary-progressive MS. CONCLUSION: Stochastic models with random temporal changes in disease activity could reproduce the characteristic onset age distribution and disease course forms in MS. Further studies by using real-world data to underscore the significance of random process in the occurrence and progression of MS are warranted.

Clinical and demographic characteristics of late-onset multiple sclerosis: LOMS-TR study.

OBJECTIVES: Multiple sclerosis (MS), which is known as a young-adult age disease, is called late-onset MS (LOMS) when it occurs at the age of 50 and older. In our study, we aimed to analyse the clinical and demographic characteristics, comorbidities, diagnostic and treatment challenges and prognosis of LOMS. METHODS: In a retrospective analysis of 136 patients diagnosed with multiple sclerosis (MS) after the age of 50, based on the 2017 McDonald criteria, and who were under observation in eight distinct MS centers across Turkey; demographic information, clinical characteristics of the disease, oligoclonal band (OCB) status, initial and current Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) values, administered treatments, and the existence of spinal lesions on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) were investigated. RESULTS: The mean age of the 136 patients was 60.96±6.42 years (51-79), the mean age at diagnosis was 54.94±4.30 years, and 89 (65.4 %) of the patients were female. Most of the cases, 61.1 % (83) had at least one comorbidity. In 97 patients who underwent lumbar puncture (LP), OCB positivity was observed in 63.6 %. In 114 patients (83.8 %), spinal lesions were detected on MRI. Eighty-seven patients had relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) (64 %), 27 patients had secondary progressive MS (SPMS) (19.9 %), and 22 patients had primary progressive MS (PPMS) (16.2 %). The mean EDSS at the time of diagnosis was 2.44±1.46, and the mean current EDSS was 3.15±2.14. CONCLUSIONS: In LOMS patients, the rates of delay in the diagnostic process, treatment disruption and progressive disease are higher than in the general MS population. The high rates of LP applying and OCB positivity of this study may indicate the habit of looking for clear evidences in advanged age in our country. This situation and comorbidities may cause a delay in diagnosis and eliminates the window of opportunity for early diagnosis. Although the high number of spinal lesions is a known marker for progressive disease, it is an issue that needs to be discussed whether the increased frequency of progressive course at older ages is due to the nature of the disease or immune aging itself.

Exploring humanistic burden of fatigue in adults with multiple sclerosis: an analysis of US National Health and Wellness Survey data.

BACKGROUND: This retrospective study examined the humanistic burden of fatigue in patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS), compared with adults without MS, using data from the 2017 and 2019 US National Health and Wellness Survey. METHODS: The 5-item Modified Fatigue Impact Scale (MFIS-5) was used to assess level of fatigue (MFIS-5 score <15: low fatigue [LF]; MFIS-5 score ≥15: high fatigue [HF]) in patients with RRMS. Health-related quality of life (HRQoL) measures (Short Form 36-Item Health Survey version 2, Euroqol-5 Dimensions-5 Levels [EQ-5D-5L], Patient Health Questionnaire-9 [PHQ-9], Generalized Anxiety Disorder-7 [GAD-7], Perceived Deficits Questionnaire-5) and treatment-related characteristics were assessed. RESULTS: In total, 498 respondents were identified as RRMS (n=375 RRMS+LF, n=123 RRMS+HF) and compared with 1,494 matched non-MS controls. RRMS+LF and RRMS+HF had significantly lower Short Form 6 Dimensions health utility, Mental and Physical Component Summary, and EQ-5D-5L scores and higher PHQ-9 and GAD-7 scores, compared with matched non-MS controls (all p<0.001); scores were worse for RRMS+HF than RRMS+LF across all measures (all p<0.001). A higher proportion of RRMS+HF reported moderate-to-severe depression and moderate-to-severe anxiety, compared with RRMS+LF and matched non-MS controls (both p<0.001). Fatigue was a significant predictor of poor HRQoL across all measures (all p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with RRMS experienced lower HRQoL with higher levels of fatigue, highlighting an unmet need. Results may help to inform physician-patient communication and shared decision-making to address fatigue and its associated impact on patients' HRQoL.

Clinical characterization of long-term multiple sclerosis (COLuMbus) patients in Argentina: A cross-sectional non-interventional study.

BACKGROUND: Most Multiple Sclerosis (MS) clinical trials fail to assess the long-term effects of disease-modifying therapies (DMT) or disability. METHODS: COLuMbus was a single-visit, cross-sectional study in Argentina in adult patients with ≥10 years of MS since first diagnosis. The primary endpoint was to determine patient disability using the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS). The secondary endpoints were to evaluate the distribution of diagnoses between relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) and secondary progressive MS (SPMS), patient demographics, disease history, and the risk of disability progression. The relationship between baseline characteristics and the current disability state and the risk of disability progression was assessed. RESULTS: Out of the 210 patients included, 76.7 % had a diagnosis of RRMS and 23.3 % had been diagnosed with SPMS, with a mean disease duration of 17.9 years and 20.5 years, respectively. The mean delay in the initial MS diagnosis was 2.6 years for the RRMS subgroup and 2.8 years for the SPMS subgroups. At the time of cut-off (28May2020), 90.1 % (RRMS) and 75.5 % (SPMS) of patients were receiving a DMT, with a mean of 1.5 and 2.0 prior DMTs, respectively. The median EDSS scores were 2.5 (RRMS) and 6.5 (SPMS). In the RRMS and SPMS subgroups, 23 % and 95.9 % of patients were at high risk of disability, respectively; the time since first diagnosis showed a significant correlation with the degree of disability. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first local real-world study in patients with long-term MS that highlights the importance of recognizing early disease progression to treat the disease on time and delay disability.

Multiple sclerosis in Morocco: Epidemiological, clinical, and therapeutic profile.

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to describe the clinical, therapeutic, and epidemiological profiles of MS patients in Morocco. METHODS: This descriptive study involved 170 patients representing four Morocco regions. We collected the data using an electronic survey. RESULTS: The results show female dominance in patients with MS. Besides, most patients present with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS). The main clinical symptoms reported by patients are fatigue, cognitive issues, spasticity, bowel or bladder complaints, and visual issues. Furthermore, the findings show that almost half of the patients use Interferon bêta-1a and azathioprine as disease-modifying therapies; 60.5 % use traditional and complementary medicine, of which 30.6 % use cupping, 30 % recite the Holy Quran, and 28.2 % use apitherapy. The findings show that there is a statistically significant relationship between specific MS factors such as professional activity (p = 0.0071), degree of satisfaction with treatment (p = 0.005), stress (p = 0.014), and the frequency of relapses. CONCLUSIONS: In addition to DMT, patients also use traditional and complementary medicine. There is also a relationship between some epidemiological characteristics and the frequency of relapses in patients with MS.

Multiple Sclerosis Progression and Relapse Activity in Children.

Importance: Although up to 20% of patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) experience onset before 18 years of age, it has been suggested that people with pediatric-onset MS (POMS) are protected against disability because of greater capacity for repair. Objective: To assess the incidence of and factors associated with progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) and relapse-associated worsening (RAW) in POMS compared with typical adult-onset MS (AOMS) and late-onset MS (LOMS). Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study on prospectively acquired data from the Italian MS Register was performed from June 1, 2000, to September 30, 2021. At the time of data extraction, longitudinal data from 73 564 patients from 120 MS centers were available in the register. Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcomes included age-related cumulative incidence and adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for PIRA and RAW and associated factors. Exposures: Clinical and magnetic resonance imaging features, time receiving disease-modifying therapy (DMT), and time to first DMT. Results: After applying the inclusion and exclusion criteria, the study assessed 16 130 patients with MS (median [IQR] age at onset, 28.7 [22.8-36.2 years]; 68.3% female). Compared with AOMS and LOMS, patients with POMS had less disability, exhibited more active disease, and were exposed to DMT for a longer period. A first 48-week-confirmed PIRA occurred in 7176 patients (44.5%): 558 patients with POMS (40.4%), 6258 patients with AOMS (44.3%), and 360 patients with LOMS (56.8%) (P < .001). Factors associated with PIRA were older age at onset (AOMS vs POMS HR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.30-1.55; LOMS vs POMS HR, 2.98; 95% CI, 2.60-3.41; P < .001), longer disease duration (HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 1.04-1.05; P < .001), and shorter DMT exposure (HR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.64-0.74; P < .001). The incidence of PIRA was 1.3% at 20 years of age, but it rapidly increased approximately 7 times between 21 and 30 years of age (9.0%) and nearly doubled for each age decade from 40 to 70 years (21.6% at 40 years, 39.0% at 50 years, 61.0% at 60 years, and 78.7% at 70 years). The cumulative incidence of RAW events followed a similar trend from 20 to 60 years (0.5% at 20 years, 3.5% at 30 years, 7.8% at 40 years, 14.4% at 50 years, and 24.1% at 60 years); no further increase was found at 70 years (27.7%). Delayed DMT initiation was associated with higher risk of PIRA (HR, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.00-1.34; P = .04) and RAW (HR, 1.75; 95% CI, 1.28-2.39; P = .001). Conclusions and Relevance: PIRA can occur at any age, and although pediatric onset is not fully protective against progression, this study's findings suggest that patients with pediatric onset are less likely to exhibit PIRA over a decade of follow-up. However, these data also reinforce the benefit for DMT initiation in patients with POMS, as treatment was associated with reduced occurrence of both PIRA and RAW regardless of age at onset.

Using instrumental variables to correct for bias in real-world cohort studies of the effects of disease-modifying treatment in MS.

BACKGROUND: Estimating the effect of disease-modifying treatment of MS in observational studies is impaired by bias from unmeasured confounders, in particular indication bias. OBJECTIVE: To show how instrumental variables (IVs) reduce bias. METHODS: All patients with relapsing onset of MS 1996-2010, identified by the nationwide Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry, were followed from onset. Exposure was treatment index throughout the first 12 years from onset, defined as a cumulative function of months without and with medium- or high-efficacy treatment, and outcomes were hazard ratios (HRs) per unit treatment index for sustained Expanded Disability Scale Score (EDSS) 4 and 6 adjusted for age at onset and sex, without and with an IV. We used the onset cohort (1996-2000; 2001-2005; 2006-2010) as an IV because treatment index increased across the cohorts. RESULTS: We included 6014 patients. With conventional Cox regression, HRs for EDSS 4 and 6 were 1.15 [95% CI: 1.13-1.18] and 1.17 [1.13-1.20] per unit treatment index. Only with IVs, we confirmed a beneficial effect of treatment with HRs of 0.86 [0.81-0.91] and 0.82 [0.74-0.90]. CONCLUSION: The use of IVs eliminates indication bias and confirms that treatment is effective in delaying disability. IVs could, under some circumstances, be an alternative to marginal structural models.

Evaluation of drivers of treatment switch in relapsing multiple sclerosis: a study from the Italian MS Registry.

BACKGROUND: Active relapsing-remitting (RR) and secondary progressive (SP) multiple sclerosis (MS) are currently defined as "relapsing MS" (RMS). The aim of this cross-sectional study was to assess drivers of treatment switches due to clinical relapses in a population of RMS patients collected in the Italian MS and Related Disorders Register (I-MS&RD). METHODS: RRMS and SPMS patients with at least one relapse in a time window of 2 years before of data extraction were defined as RMS. Factors associated with disease-modifying therapy (DMT) switching due to clinical activity were assessed through multivariable logistic regression models in which treatment exposure was included as the last recorded DMT and the last DMT's class [moderate-efficacy (ME), high-efficacy (HE) DMTs and anti-CD20 drugs]. RESULTS: A cohort of 4739 RMS patients (4161 RRMS, 578 SPMS) was extracted from the I-MS&RD. A total of 2694 patients switching DMTs due to relapses were identified. Switchers were significantly (p < 0.0001) younger, less disabled, more frequently affected by an RR disease course in comparison to non-switcher patients. The multivariable logistic regression models showed that Alemtuzumab (OR 0.08, 95% CI 0.02-0.37), Natalizumab (0.48, 0.30-0.76), Ocrelizumab (0.1, 0.02-0.45) and Rituximab (0.23, 0.06-0.82) exposure was a protective factor against treatment switch due to relapses. Moreover, the use of HE DMTs (0.43, 0.31-0.59), especially anti-CD20 drugs (0.14, 0.05-0.37), resulted to be a protective factor against treatment switch due to relapses in comparison with ME DMTs. CONCLUSIONS: More than 50% of RMS switched therapy due to disease activity. HE DMTs, especially anti-CD20 drugs, significantly reduce the risk of treatment switch.

Increasing age of multiple sclerosis onset from 1920 to 2022: a population-based study.

OBJECTIVE: To study the age at onset of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) during the past century. METHODS: This is a population-based cohort study of persons diagnosed with RRMS in Hordaland, Møre, and Romsdal counties, Western Norway, from 1920 to 2022. Individual patient data were available and assessed from previously conducted prevalence and incidence studies in addition to hospital records up until October 31, 2022. Participants were categorized according to onset period and analyzed for temporal trends in age at onset, time from onset to diagnosis, and distribution of onset over time. RESULTS: We identified 3364 persons with confirmed RRMS. The mean age at onset significantly increased (p < 0.001) throughout the study period, despite a decrease in time from symptom onset to diagnosis (p < 0.001). The proportion of persons with MS onset after 50 years of age increased from 2.6% before 1970 to 11.9% after 2010. We also found a trend toward a bimodal distribution of age at onset that peaked at around 30 years and 40-45 years of age in the latest period. CONCLUSION: Age at onset of MS significantly increased throughout the study period. This was mainly due to an increasing number of persons with MS, predominantly female, experiencing onset after 40-45 years of age. This bimodal distribution could indicate different susceptibility periods of MS or changes in exposure to risk factors during the observation period.

Diagnostic delay of multiple sclerosis: prevalence, determinants and consequences.

BACKGROUND: Early diagnosis and treatment of patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) are associated with better outcomes; however, diagnostic delays remain a major problem. OBJECTIVE: Describe the prevalence, determinants and consequences of delayed diagnoses. METHODS: This single-centre ambispective study analysed 146 adult relapsing-remitting MS patients (2016-2021) for frequency and determinants of diagnostic delays and their associations with clinical, cognitive, imaging and biochemical measures. RESULTS: Diagnostic delays were identified in 77 patients (52.7%), including 42 (28.7%) physician-dependent cases and 35 (24.0%) patient-dependent cases. Diagnosis was delayed in 22 (15.1%) patients because of misdiagnosis by a neurologist. A longer diagnostic delay was associated with trends towards greater Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores (B = 0.03; p = 0.034) and greater z-score of the blood neurofilament light chain (B = 0.35; p = 0.031) at the time of diagnosis. Compared with patients diagnosed at their first clinical relapse, patients with a history of >1 relapse at diagnosis (n = 63; 43.2%) had a trend towards greater EDSS scores (B = 0.06; p = 0.006) and number of total (B = 0.13; p = 0.040) and periventricular (B = 0.06; p = 0.039) brain lesions. CONCLUSION: Diagnostic delays in MS are common, often determined by early misdiagnosis and associated with greater disease burden.

Excess weight increases the risk of sarcopenia in patients with multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an autoimmune neurodegenerative disease. Nutritional status influences the course of the disease, however, its relationship with sarcopenia needs further investigation. The aim of the study was to identify patients with sarcopenia and assess its association with nutritional status and the clinical course of the disease. METHODS: The study assessed 110 patients submitted to evaluation of sociodemographic characteristics, level of physical activity, nutritional status, and presence of sarcopenia. The clinical course of the disease, age at onset, disease duration, disease-modifying therapy, and expanded scale of disability status (EDSS) were investigated. RESULTS: Mean age was 37.17 (SD = 10.60) years, disease duration was 6.29 years (SD = 4.65), with a predominance of female gender (80.90 %), relapsing-remitting clinical form (RRMS) (89.10 %) and mild level of disability (EDSS median = 1.92). The group had excess weight (53.6 %) according to body mass index (BMI) and abdominal fat accumulation measured by waist circumference (WC) (53.6 %). High percentage of fat mass ( % FM) was observed in 54.5 % and 38.2 % of the patients according to bioimpedance (BIA) and ultrasound (US), respectively. It was observed that 15.5 % were at risk for sarcopenia, which was associated with excess weight, and high % FM (p<0.05). CONCLUSION: These findings highlight the importance of including nutritional status indicators, and sarcopenia assessment in the care of patients with MS.

Prevalence of 2-year "No evidence of disease activity" (NEDA-3 and NEDA-4) in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis. A real-world study.

BACKGROUND: No evidence of disease activity (NEDA) is becoming a gold standard in the evaluation of disease modifying therapies (DMT) in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS). NEDA-3 status is the absence of relapses, new activity on brain MRI, and disability progression. NEDA-4 meets all NEDA-3 criteria plus lack of brain atrophy. OBJECTIVE: Aim of this study was to investigate the prevalence of two-year NEDA-3, NEDA-4, six-month delayed NEDA-3 (6mdNEDA-3), and six-month delayed NEDA-4 (6mdNEDA-4) in a cohort of patients with RRMS. Six-month delayed measures were introduced to consider latency of action of drugs. METHODS: Observational retrospective monocentric study. All the patients with RRMS starting DMT between 2015 and 2018, and with 2-year of follow-up, were included. Annualized brain volume loss (a-BVL) was calculated by SIENA software. RESULTS: We included 108 patients, the majority treated with first line DMT. At 2-year follow-up, 35 % of patients were NEDA-3 (50 % 6mdNEDA-3), and 17 % NEDA-4 (28 % 6mdNEDA-4). Loss of NEDA-3 status was mainly driven by MRI activity (70 %), followed by relapses (56 %), and only minimally by disability progression (7 %). CONCLUSION: In our cohort 2-year NEDA status, especially including lack of brain atrophy, was hard to achieve. Further studies are needed to establish the prognostic value of NEDA-3 and NEDA4 in the long-term follow-up.

Evaluation of the use of high-efficacy treatments (HETs) in patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis in Argentina.

BACKGROUND: Disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) in multiple sclerosis (MS) can be classified according to the efficacy in which they prevent inflammatory activity. To date, there are limited data regarding the use of high-efficacy treatments (HETs) in Latin America (LATAM). We aimed to analyze the use of HETs in Argentina, focusing on the clinical and sociodemographic characteristics of the patients who use these treatments and the changes in the trend of use over the years. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was done using the Argentina MS patient registry, RelevarEM. Patients diagnosed with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) according to validated diagnostic criteria and under treatment with natalizumab, alemtuzumab, cladribine, rituximab or ocrelizumab were included. RESULTS: Out of 2450 RRMS patients under a DMT, 462 (19%) were on HETs. One third of those patients (35%) received HETs as the first treatment. The most frequent reason for switching to HETs was treatment failure to previous DMT (77%). The time from MS diagnosis to the first HET in treatment-naive patients was less than one year (IQR: 0-1 year) and in treatment-experienced patients it was 5 years (IQR: 3-9 years). Between 2015 and 2017 (P1), 729 patients included in RelevarEM started a new treatment, of which 85 (11.65%) were HETs. Between 2018 and 2020 (P2), 961 patients included in RelevarEM started a new treatment, of which 284 (29.55%) were HETs. When comparing P2 with P1, a significant increase in the use of HETs was observed (p < 0.01). The most frequently used HETs were alemtuzumab (50.59%) in P1, and cladribine (45.20%) in P2. CONCLUSION: The demographic and clinical characteristics of patients under HET in Argentina were identified. Based on a real-world setting, we found a significant trend towards and a rapid increase in the use of HETs in clinical practice in patients with RRMS.

Fatigue and health-related quality of life depend on the disability status and clinical course in RRMS.

BACKGROUND: Fatigue is a prominent and disabling symptom of multiple sclerosis (MS), impairing quality of life. The disease course of relapsing remitting MS (RRMS) is individual. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to study the effects of demographic and clinical characteristics, as well as lifestyle risk factors on experienced fatigue and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) among RRMS patients, comparing benign and severe disease types. METHODS: Altogether 198 Finnish RRMS patients were recruited for this real-life cross-sectional study. Self-reported questionnaires were used to evaluate fatigue and HRQoL by using Fatigue Scale for Motor and Cognitive Functions and 15D health-related quality of life questionnaires. Patients were categorized into subgroups based on the current disability status measured by the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) cut-off value of 4.5, and by retrospective clinical course divided into benign and aggressive RRMS. RESULTS: All in all, 73% of the RRMS patients suffered from fatigue. Lower HRQoL had a strong correlation with more prominent fatigue (r = -0.719). Higher EDSS was associated with more prominent fatigue and lower HRQoL in the whole RRMS cohort. Older age at the disease onset was associated with more prominent fatigue and decreased HRQoL in the groups of aggressive RRMS and EDSS > 4.5. In the groups of EDSS ≤ 4.5 and benign RRMS, a higher number of used disease-modifying treatments (DMTs) was associated with more pronounced fatigue and reduced HRQoL. In addition, higher BMI was associated with lower HRQoL in patients with benign RRMS. Side effects (45 %) and lack of efficacy (26 %) were the most common reasons for discontinuing a DMT. Cessation due to side effects was the only reason that was significantly associated with more prominent fatigue and lower HRQoL. Use of nicotine products, gender, or disease duration were not associated with fatigue or HRQoL. CONCLUSIONS: Individuals with severe RRMS and higher EDSS scores are more prone to experience fatigue and lower HRQoL. In addition, fatigue and lower HRQoL are more commonly observed among RRMS patients with older age at disease onset and in those with multiple DMT switches.

Longitudinal epidemiology of multiple sclerosis in Townsville, Queensland, Australia, 2012-2022.

BACKGROUND: Townsville (population=195,564, latitude=19.3°S) is the largest city in the Northern Queensland region of Australia, an area previously defined as a low/medium-prevalence zone for multiple sclerosis (MS). However, the epidemiology of MS in this region since 1981 is unknown. AIMS: To assess the 2012 to 2022 epidemiology of MS in Townsville. METHODS: Demographic/clinical data extracted from medical records of MS cases identified by public and private clinicians. Prevalence, and incidence and mortality rates estimated for 2012 and 2022 and age-standardised to the 2022 Australian population. Differences in estimates assessed by Poisson regression. RESULTS: Females and relapsing-remitting MS comprised most cases. The 2012 prevalence was 45.0/100,000 (50.4/100,000 age-standardised, F/M sex ratio=2.0). Prevalence increased by 188% in 2022, with a crude prevalence of 86.9/100,000 (91.7/100,000 age-standardised, F/M sex ratio=2.7). 2012-22 MS onset incidence rate was 3.8/100,000 person-years (age-standardised 3.5/100,000, F/M sex ratio=2.7). Mean age increased from 49.4 to 57.3 years. Age-standardised mortality rate was 0.9/100,000 person-years, with standardised mortality ratio=1.0. DISCUSSION: These results show that Townsville is a high-frequency region for MS, with prevalence and incidence on par with that seen at higher latitudes in Australia. These results have implications for clinical practice in the region and for organisational resource allocation.

The effects of different types of smoking on recovery from attack in hospitalized multiple sclerosis patients.

BACKGROUND: Several studies demonstrated the association between tobacco smoking and higher risk and increased progression of multiple sclerosis (MS). Data about the effect of smoking during the recovery from MS attacks is limited. Furthermore, different types of tobacco exposures such as water pipe and passive smoking are not well assessed separately. So this study evaluated the effect of different types of smokes, cigarette and water pipe as well as passive smoking on the function recovery of relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) attacks METHODS: This cohort study evaluated the adult patients with RRMS and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) < 5 in the attack phase. Patients were divided into two groups: smokers and non-smokers. The smokers included those who use cigarette, water pipe as well as passive smokers as subgroups for more analyses later. EDSS was monitored after relapse and two months after relapse. Change of EDSS considered as the criteria for functional recovery. The correlation between the amount of consumption and disability level was assessed among smokers by Pearson's correlation test. While, the difference of EDSS between smoker and non-smoker were assessed by Independent samples T-test. RESULTS: 142 patients were evaluated. 79 (55.6%) were smokers (43% male) while 63 (44.4%) were non-smokers (36.5% male). There was a statistically significant difference in change of EDSS between smoker and non-smoker groups, which change of EDSS was higher in non-smoker (-2.62 ± 0.90 non-smoker vs. -1.75 ± 0.76 smoker, P < 0.001). Also, only there was a significantly lesser decline in EDSS after two months in the cigarette smokers in subgroups analyses (P < 0.001). A correlation analysis revealed a significant positive correlation between the number per day of cigarette smoking and EDSS after relapse (r = 0.3, P = 0.03) and a significant positive correlation between minutes per month of smoking of water pipe and EDSS two months after relapse (r =  0.6 , P > 0.001). CONCLUSION: Tobacco smoking especially cigarette smoking is associated with a negative effect on recovery from the attack in patients with RRMS.

Risk of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis after early worsening of disability.

BACKGROUND: Whether progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) heralds earlier onset of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) and more rapid accumulation of disability during SPMS remains to be determined. We investigated the association between early PIRA, relapse-associated worsening (RAW) of disability and time to SPMS, subsequent disability progression and their response to therapy. METHODS: This observational cohort study included patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) from the MSBase international registry across 146 centres and 39 countries. Associations between the number of PIRA and RAW during early multiple sclerosis (MS) (the initial 5 years of MS onset) were analysed with respect to: time to SPMS using Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for disease characteristics; and disability progression during SPMS, calculated as the change of Multiple Sclerosis Severity Scores over time, using multivariable linear regression. RESULTS: 10 692 patients met the inclusion criteria: 3125 (29%) were men and the mean MS onset age was 32.2 years. A higher number of early PIRA (HR=1.50, 95% CI 1.28 to 1.76, p<0.001) and RAW (HR=2.53, 95% CI 2.25 to 2.85, p<0.001) signalled a higher risk of SPMS. A higher proportion of early disease-modifying therapy exposure (per 10%) reduced the effect of early RAW (HR=0.94, 95% CI 0.89 to 1.00, p=0.041) but not PIRA (HR=0.97, 95% CI 0.91 to 1.05, p=0.49) on SPMS risk. No association between early PIRA/RAW and disability progression during SPMS was found. CONCLUSIONS: Early disability increase during RRMS is associated with a greater risk of SPMS but not the rate of disability progression during SPMS. The deterioration associated with early relapses represents a potentially treatable risk factor of SPMS. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ACTRN12605000455662).

The risk of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis is geographically determined but modifiable.

Geographical variations in the incidence and prevalence of multiple sclerosis have been reported globally. Latitude as a surrogate for exposure to ultraviolet radiation but also other lifestyle and environmental factors are regarded as drivers of this variation. No previous studies evaluated geographical variation in the risk of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis, an advanced form of multiple sclerosis that is characterized by steady accrual of irreversible disability. We evaluated differences in the risk of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis in relation to latitude and country of residence, modified by high-to-moderate efficacy immunotherapy in a geographically diverse cohort of patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis. The study included relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis patients from the global MSBase registry with at least one recorded assessment of disability. Secondary progressive multiple sclerosis was identified as per clinician diagnosis. Sensitivity analyses used the operationalized definition of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis and the Swedish decision tree algorithm. A proportional hazards model was used to estimate the cumulative risk of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis by country of residence (latitude), adjusted for sex, age at disease onset, time from onset to relapsing-remitting phase, disability (Multiple Sclerosis Severity Score) and relapse activity at study inclusion, national multiple sclerosis prevalence, government health expenditure, and proportion of time treated with high-to-moderate efficacy disease-modifying therapy. Geographical variation in time from relapsing-remitting phase to secondary progressive phase of multiple sclerosis was modelled through a proportional hazards model with spatially correlated frailties. We included 51 126 patients (72% female) from 27 countries. The median survival time from relapsing-remitting phase to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis among all patients was 39 (95% confidence interval: 37 to 43) years. Higher latitude [median hazard ratio = 1.21, 95% credible interval (1.16, 1.26)], higher national multiple sclerosis prevalence [1.07 (1.03, 1.11)], male sex [1.30 (1.22, 1.39)], older age at onset [1.35 (1.30, 1.39)], higher disability [2.40 (2.34, 2.47)] and frequent relapses [1.18 (1.15, 1.21)] at inclusion were associated with increased hazard of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. Higher proportion of time on high-to-moderate efficacy therapy substantially reduced the hazard of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis [0.76 (0.73, 0.79)] and reduced the effect of latitude [interaction: 0.95 (0.92, 0.99)]. At the country-level, patients in Oman, Tunisia, Iran and Canada had higher risks of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis relative to the other studied regions. Higher latitude of residence is associated with a higher probability of developing secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. High-to-moderate efficacy immunotherapy can mitigate some of this geographically co-determined risk.

Intrathecal kappa free light chain synthesis is associated with worse prognosis in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: While kappa free light chain (KFLC) index has become a useful diagnostic biomarker in multiple sclerosis (MS), its prognostic properties are less explored. B cells play a crucial role in MS pathogenesis, but the impact from increased intrathecal production of immunoglobulins and KFLC remains to be determined. Recently, it has become evident that insidious worsening is not confined to progressive MS but is also common in relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS), a feature known as progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA). METHODS: We retrospectively identified 131 patients with clinically isolated syndrome or early RRMS who had determined KFLC index as part of their diagnostic workup. Demographic and clinical data were extracted from the Swedish MS registry. Associations of baseline KFLC index with evidence of disease activity (EDA) and PIRA were investigated in multivariable cox proportional hazards regression models. RESULTS: KFLC index was significantly higher in PIRA (median 148.5, interquartile range [IQR] 106.9-253.5) compared with non-PIRA (78.26, IQR 28.93-186.5, p = 0.009). In a multivariable cox regression model adjusted for confounders, KFLC index emerged as an independent risk factor for PIRA (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.005, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.002-1.008, p = 0.002). Dichotomized by the cut-off value KFLC index > 100, patients with KFLC index > 100 had an almost fourfold increase in the risk for developing PIRA. KFLC index was also predictive of evidence of disease activity during follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Our data indicate that high KFLC index at baseline is predictive of PIRA, EDA-3, and overall worse prognosis in MS.